Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000519 0.000578 0.000641 0.000715 0.000800 0.000894 0.001006
2025-11-23 0.000420 0.000500 0.000594 0.000714 0.000863 0.001045 0.001286
2025-11-30 0.000362 0.000452 0.000564 0.000717 0.000921 0.001188 0.001572
2025-12-07 0.000325 0.000422 0.000548 0.000729 0.000985 0.001343 0.001894
2025-12-14 0.000294 0.000394 0.000530 0.000732 0.001034 0.001478 0.002208
2025-12-21 0.000274 0.000378 0.000524 0.000751 0.001105 0.001653 0.002610
2025-12-28 0.000249 0.000351 0.000499 0.000736 0.001119 0.001741 0.002884
2026-01-04 0.000230 0.000332 0.000484 0.000734 0.001154 0.001865 0.003239
2026-01-11 0.000216 0.000317 0.000472 0.000735 0.001192 0.001998 0.003638
2026-01-18 0.000203 0.000304 0.000462 0.000739 0.001235 0.002146 0.004091
2026-01-25 0.000191 0.000291 0.000450 0.000736 0.001266 0.002273 0.004527
2026-02-01 0.000182 0.000282 0.000445 0.000745 0.001317 0.002448 0.005104
2026-02-08 0.000171 0.000269 0.000432 0.000739 0.001344 0.002582 0.005634
2026-02-15 0.000161 0.000257 0.000421 0.000736 0.001374 0.002730 0.006240
2026-02-22 0.000153 0.000249 0.000413 0.000739 0.001418 0.002916 0.006993
2026-03-01 0.000148 0.000243 0.000411 0.000751 0.001484 0.003163 0.007985
2026-03-08 0.000141 0.000235 0.000405 0.000755 0.001530 0.003373 0.008934
2026-03-15 0.000137 0.000232 0.000406 0.000774 0.001615 0.003694 0.010331
2026-03-22 0.000129 0.000221 0.000391 0.000758 0.001615 0.003796 0.011060
2026-03-29 0.000123 0.000214 0.000383 0.000756 0.001648 0.003995 0.012190
2026-04-05 0.000118 0.000207 0.000377 0.000757 0.001689 0.004223 0.013514
2026-04-12 0.000114 0.000202 0.000373 0.000761 0.001739 0.004486 0.015081
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000196 0.000366 0.000759 0.001770 0.004703 0.016558